Table 2. Regression models of connection between electoral cleavages and factors of social and demographic differentiation

Region EC R2 Urbanization Demographic characteristics Economic activity (independence) Entrepreneurial activity Social wellbeing Taxpayer support Other Other-2
2016      
Republic of Adygea EC-1 0.813 0.784 (0.095) –0.275 (0.102) 0.102 (0.034)      
Republic of Dagestan EC-1 0.495 0.378 (0.095) –0.630 (0.095) 0.223 (0.093)      
Republic of Ingushetia EC-2 0.844 –0.696 (0.176) –0.600 (0.176)      
Republic of Karelia EC-1 0.806 0.523 (0.167) –0.440 (0.167)      
EC-2 0.322 –0.567 (0.206)      
EC-3 0.432 0.596 (0.201) –0.466 (0.201)      
Republic of Mordovia EC-1 0.498 0.706 (0.112)      
Chechen Republic EC-1 0.402 0.453 (0.188) 0.433 (0.188)      
Chuvash Republic EC-1 0.841 –0.872 (0.091) –0.264 (0.091)      
Altai Krai EC-1 0.643 –0.402 (0.112) –0.612 (0.109) –0.269 (0.112)      
EC-2 0.410 –0.640 (0.136)      
Krasnoyarsk Krai EC-1 0.783 0.711 (0.056) –0.443 (0.056) 0.135 (0.056)      
EC-2 0.384 –0.291 (0.094) 0.296 (0.094) 0.219 (0.094) –0.385 (0.094) –0.195 (0.094)      
EC-3 0.170 –0.258 (0.107) 0.325 (0.107)      
Perm Krai EC-1 0.846 –0.858 (0.077) 0.201 (0.077)      
Primorsky Krai EC-1 0.710 0.417 (0.140) –0.524 (0.141) –0.311 (0.137)      
EC-2 0.641 –0.720 (0.145) –0.349 (0.145)      
Stavropol Krai EC-2 0.414 0.644 (0.160)      
Amur Oblast EC-1 0.663 –0.814 (0.145)      
EC-2 0.587 –1.019 (0.296) –1.356 (0.296)      
Astrakhan Oblast EC-1 0.687 0.743 (0.110) 0.431 (110)      
EC-2 0.728 –0.419 (0.105) 0.520 (0.105) –0.492 (0.105)      
Vologda Oblast EC-1 0.865 –0.560 (0.160) 0.435 (0.142) –0.605 (0.129)      
EC-3 0.324 –0.569 (0.212)      
Kaliningrad Oblast EC-1 0.848 –0.921 (0.092)      
Kamchatka Krai EC-1 0.806 1.035 (0.185) 1.226 (0.185)      
EC-2 0.591 –0.769 (0.185)      
Kirov Oblast EC-1 0.833 –0.754 (0.058) –0.160 (0.055) 0.135 (0.057) –0.243 (0.056) –0.201 (0.056)      
EC-2 0.208 0.301 (0.116) 0.344 (0.116)      
Kursk Oblast EC-1 0.737 –0.868 (0.082) –0.197 (0.082)      
Lipetsk Oblast EC-1 0.717 –0.724 (0.115) –0.242 (0.115)      
Leningrad Oblast EC-1 0.124* 0.353 (0.195)      
EC-2 0.680 –0.553 (0.126) 0.476 (0.126)      
Moscow Oblast EC-1 0.747 0.864 (0.105)      
EC-3 0.115* 0.339 (0.196)      
Murmansk Oblast EC-1 0.597 –0.772 (0.170)      
EC-2 0.700 –0.417 (0.160) 0.606 (0.160)      
EC-4 0.494 –0.816 (0.308) 1.096 (0.308)      
Nizhny Nivgorod Oblast EC-1 0.495 –0.704 (0.148)      
EC-2 0.426 –0.410 (0.162) 0.501 (0.162)      
EC-3 0.307 –0.554 (0.174)      
Novgorod Oblast EC-1 0.870 0.242 (0.104) 0.834 (0.104)      
EC-2 0.413 0.643 (0.205)      
Omsk Oblast EC-1 0.892 –0.944 (0.074)      
EC-2 0.177* –0.421 (0.203)      
Orenburg Oblast EC-1 0.728 0.755 (0.120) –0.256 (0.120)      
EC-2 0.683 –0.720 (0.127) –0.318 (0.127)      
Oryol Oblast EC-1 0.825 –0.908 (0.094)      
Pskov Oblast EC-1 0.804 –0.943 (0.107) –0.332 (0.107)      
EC-2 0.624 0.508 (0.149) 0.463 (0.149)      
Samara Oblast EC-1 0.563 –0.685 (0.144) –0.480 (0.144)      
EC-2 0.666 –0.526 (0.132) 0.755 (0.205) 0.557 (0.200)      
Sverdlovsk Oblast EC-1 0.703 0.696 (0.059) –0.392 (0.059)      
EC-2 0.372 0.186 (0.087) 0.388 (0.087) –0.379 (0.087) –0.235 (0.087)      
EC-3 0.080 0.284 (0.102)      
Tver Oblast EC-1 0.537 –0.622 (0.097) 0.399 (0.097)      
EC-2 0.090 –0.300 (0.135)      
Tambov Oblast EC-1 0.257 0.507 (0.180)      
EC-2 0.329 –0.573 (0.171)      
Tomsk Oblast EC-1 0.922 0.726 (0.076) –0.762 (0.071) –0.246 (0.076)      
EC-2 0.485 –0.565 (0.195) –0.350 (0.184) –0.560 (0.196)      
Tyumen Oblast EC-1 0.727 0.852 (0.185)      
Saint Petersburg EC-1 0.446 0.547 (0.159) 0.364 (0.159)      
EC-2 0.531 0.615 (0.148) 0.510 (0.148)      
EC-3 0.170 0.412 (0.190)      
Jewish Autonomous Oblast EC-1 0.897 –0.695 (0.134) 0.515 (0.134)      
EC-2 0.567 0.753 (0.249)      
Khanty-Mansi Autonomous Okrug EC-1 0.573 0.372 (0.134) 0.643 (0.133) 0.371 (0.127) 0.369 (0.129)      
EC-2 0.709 0.608 (0.109) –0.337 (0.107)      
Chukotka Autonomous Okrug EC-1 0.543* 0.737 (0.302)      
EC-2 0.778 –0.700 (0.236) –0.537 (0.236)      
2017      
Republic of North Ossetia–Alania EC-3 0.483 0.695 (0.254)      
Udmurt Republic EC-1 0.636 –0.725 (0.090) 0.296 (0.090)      
EC-3 0.208 –0.296 (0.133) –0.335 (0.133)      
Krasnodar Krai EC-2 0.256 –0.506 (0.150)      
Penza Oblast EC-1 0.718 –0.827 (0.087) –0.248 (0.085) –0.184 (0.087)      
EC-2 0.120 0.346 (0.147)      
Saratov Oblast EC-1 0.766 0.832 (0.111) –0.249 (0.111)    
EC-2 0.200 0.447 (0.200)    
Sakhalin Oblast EC-1 0.889 –0.943 (0.096)      
2018      
Republic of Bashkortostan EC-1 0.425 –0.613 (0.105) –0.219 (0.105)      
Republic of Buryatia EC-2 0.330 –0.575 (0.147)      
Republic of Kalmykia EC-2 0.717 –0.441 (0.172) –0.426 (0.177) 0.791 (0.179)      
Republic of Khakassia EC-1 0.756 0.870 (0.097)      
EC-3 0.541 0.436 (0.136) 0.581 (0.136)      
Republic of Sakha (Yakutia) EC-1 0.844 –0.178 (0.055) –0.129 (0.055)      
Zabaykalsky Krai EC-1 0.456 0.628 (0.107) –0.216 (0.107)      
EC-2 0.482 –0.343 (0.107) –0.237 (0.107) –0.449 (0.106) 0.312 (0.107)      
EC-3 0.458 –0.335 (0.108) 0.428 (0.108) –0.373 (0.108)      
Arkhangelsk Oblast + Nenets Autonomous Okrug EC-1 0.518 –0.703 (0.167) 0.625 (0.167)      
EC-2 0.675 –0.310 (0.125) –0.790 (0.125)      
EC-3 0.236 0.486 (0.186)      
Vladimir Oblast EC-1 0.756 0.748 (0.092) 0.208 (0.092) 0.303 (0.090)      
EC-2 0.459 0.677 (0.130)      
Ivanovo Oblast EC-1 0.608 0.511 (0.113) –0.314 (0.113) –0.422 (0.113)      
EC-2 0.450 –0.300 (0.135) 0.278 (0.135) 0.457 (0.135)      
Irkutsk Oblast EC-1 0.507 –0.712 (0.157)      
EC-3 0.422 0.453 (0.177) –0.398 (0.177)      
Kemerovo Oblast EC-1 0.634 –0.745 (0.144) –0.354 (0.156) 0.575 (0.158)      
EC-2 0.345 –0.588 (0.177)      
Rostov Oblast EC-1 0.201 0.449 (0.169)      
EC-2 0.544 –0.738 (0.128)      
Smolensk Oblast EC-1 0.582 –0.763 (0.229)      
Ulyanovsk Oblast EC-1 0.969 0.799 (0.060) 0.199 (0.058) –0.290 (0.052) –0.252 (0.061)      
Yaroslavl Oblast EC-1 0.199* –0.446 (0.224)      
EC-2 0.796 0.262 (0.121) –0.889 (0.129) 0.509 (0.129)      
EC-3 0.562 –0.504 (0.178) –0.435 (0.178)      
2019      
Altai Republic EC-1 0.747 0.862 (0.103) 0.219 (0.103) 0.305 (0.099)      
EC-2 0.154 –0.392 (0.174)      
EC-3 0.300 –0.548 (0.158)      
EC-4 0.287 –0.536 (0.160)      
Kabardino-Balkarian Republic EC-2 0.323 –0.569 (0.248)      
Karachay-Cherkess Republic EC-3 0.805 –0.484 (0.147) 0.756 (0.147)      
Crimea EC-1 0.420 –0.648 (0.159)      
EC-2 0.188 0.434 (0.188)      
EC-3 0.167 –0.409 (0.190)      
Mari El Republic EC-1 0.732 –0.856 (0.085)      
EC-2 0.345 0.587 (0.133)      
Republic of Tatarstan EC-1 0.591 0.769 (0.081)      
EC-2 0.421 –0.292 (0.099) 0.215 (0.099) 0.274 (0.099) –0.463 (0.099)      
Tyva Republic EC-1 0.758 –0.829 (0.099) 0.233 (0.099) 0.268 (0.092) 0.259 (0.092) –0.276 (0.095)      
Khabarovsk Krai EC-1 0.766 –0.352 (0.087) –0.351 (0.087) 0.408 (0.088) –0.637 (0.088)      
EC-2 0.435 –0.496 (0.136) 0.322 (0.136)      
EC-3 0.357 0.358 (0.140) 0.450 (0.140)      
Bryansk Oblast EC-1 0.240 –0.380 (0.132) –0.312 (0.129) –0.264 (0.131)      
EC-2 0.100 0.316 (0.135)      
EC-3 0.122 0.349 (0.134)      
Volgograd Oblast EC-1 0.206 –0.281 (0.120) –0.352 (0.120)      
Tula Oblast EC-1 0.875 –0.793 (0.086) –0.342 (0.092) –0.282 (0.094)      
EC-2 0.685 0.309 (0.132) 0.963 (0.180) –0.583 (0.175)      
2020      
Komi Republic EC-1 0.708 –0.453 (0.116) 0.573 (0.117) 0.359 (0.115)      
EC-2 0.343 0.463 (0.166) –0.386 (0.166)      
Belgorod Oblast EC-1 0.419 –0.647 (0.139)      
EC-2 0.285 –0.475 (0.159) –0.340 (0.159)      
Voronezh Oblast EC-1 0.797 –0.684 (0.095) –0.393 (0.095)      
EC-2 0.249 –0.499 (0.170)      
Kaluga Oblast EC-1 0.725 –0.724 (0.086) –0.256 (0.086)      
EC-2 0.102 0.319 (0.143)      
EC-3 0.119 0.344 (0.142)      
Kostroma Oblast EC-1 0.856 0.641 (0.079) –0.160 (0.069)      
EC-3 0.261 0.511 (0.133)      
Kurgan Oblast EC-1 0.239 –0.489 (0.225)      
EC-2 0.534 –0.529 (0.184) 0.444 (0.184)      
Magadan Oblast EC-1 0.262 0.512 (0.222)      
EC-2 0.497 –0.489 (0.190) –0.556 (0.190)      
Novosibirsk Oblast EC-1 0.840 0.856 (0.070) 0.177 (0.070)      
EC-2 0.142 0.377 (0.154)      
EC-3 0.354 –0.333 (0.136) –0.475 (0.136)      
Ryazan Oblast EC-1 0.813 –0.877 (0.105) –0.231 (0.105)      
EC-2 0.228 –0.478 (0.207)      
EC-3 0.201 –0.449 (0.211)      
Chelyabinsk Oblast EC-1 0.411 –0.641 (0.145)      
EC-2 0.117* 0.343 (0.178)      
Yamalo-Nenets Autonomous Okrug EC-2 0.393 0.627 (0.260)      
EC-3 0.399 –0.631 (0.258)      

Only electoral cleavages with the determination coefficients significant at p<0.05 (*p<0.1) are shown.
Electoral cleavages without political interpretation were detected in the following regions:
2019 – Sevastopol (EC 3)